BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fort Dodge

Class: 4A Class Rank: 7 Conference: (28-6-0) Overall: (36-8-0) Overall Strength =   32.17

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/22/2012 Home    L    26.22   0   1   2A   6 (27-12) Carroll Kuemper        -5.90      4.90                      
  2 05/25/2012 Home    W *  31.31   5   0   4A  36 (14-25) Des Moines Lincoln     -0.81      5.81                      
  3 05/25/2012 Home    W *  30.31   5   1   4A  36 (14-25) Des Moines Lincoln     -1.81      5.81                      
  4 05/29/2012 Away    W *  32.35  10   7   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola               0.23      2.77                      
  5 05/29/2012 Away    L *  27.35   6   8   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola              -4.77      2.77                      
  6 06/02/2012 Away    W    36.35   8   2   4A  12 (34- 9) Sioux City East         4.23      1.77                      
  7 06/02/2012 Unknown W    35.10   9   2   4A  27 (22-19) Sioux City North        2.98      4.02                      
  8 06/04/2012 Home    W *  40.26   9   2   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley              8.15     -1.15                      
  9 06/04/2012 Home    L *  31.26   4   6   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley             -0.85     -1.15  8 innings           
 10 06/05/2012 Home    W *  35.40   4   2   4A   2 (32-11) WDM Dowling             3.28     -1.28                      
 11 06/07/2012 Away    W *  40.67  16   2   4A  33 (14-27) Mason City              8.56      5.44  6 innings           
 12 06/07/2012 Away    W *  29.67   4   1   4A  33 (14-27) Mason City             -2.44      5.44                      
 13 06/08/2012 Home    W *  33.81  15   5   4A  44 ( 7-29) Des Moines Hoover       1.69      8.31                      
 14 06/08/2012 Home    W *  24.81   4   3   4A  44 ( 7-29) Des Moines Hoover      -7.31      8.31                      
 15 06/11/2012 Home    W *  33.96   3   1   4A   8 (29-11) Waukee                  1.84      0.16                      
 16 06/11/2012 Home    W *  34.96   6   3   4A   8 (29-11) Waukee                  2.84      0.16                      
 17 06/14/2012 Away    W *  33.37   6   1   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown            1.25      3.75                      
 18 06/14/2012 Away    W *  32.37   6   2   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown            0.25      3.75                      
 19 06/18/2012 Home    W *  34.02  12   4   4A  38 ( 7-30) Ames                    1.91      6.09                      
 20 06/18/2012 Home    W *  36.02  14   4   4A  38 ( 7-30) Ames                    3.91      6.09                      
 21 06/20/2012 Away    W *  33.29   6   3   4A  14 (17-24) Urbandale               1.17      1.83                      
 22 06/21/2012 Away    W *  36.03   8   5   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley              3.91     -0.91                      
 23 06/21/2012 Away    L *  23.03   0  10   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley             -9.09     -0.91                      
 24 06/25/2012 Home    W *  36.91  10   0   4A  33 (14-27) Mason City              4.79      5.21                      
 25 06/25/2012 Home    W *  30.91  10   6   4A  33 (14-27) Mason City             -1.21      5.21                      
 26 06/26/2012 Away    W    28.46   4   2   4A  35 (19-16) Boone                  -3.66      5.66                      
 27 06/28/2012 Away    W *  32.73   5   4   4A   8 (29-11) Waukee                  0.61      0.39                      
 28 06/28/2012 Away    W *  37.73   7   1   4A   8 (29-11) Waukee                  5.61      0.39                      
 29 06/29/2012 Away    W    30.04   4   0   2A   9 (23-10) Fort Dodge St Edmond   -2.08      6.08                      
 30 06/30/2012 Unknown L    28.39   5   7   3A   2 (35-11) Sioux City Heelan      -3.73      1.73                      
 31 06/30/2012 Unknown W    29.59   1   0   4A  22 (19-18) Bettendorf             -2.53      3.53                      
 32 07/02/2012 Home    W *  39.60  15   4   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown            7.48      3.52                      
 33 07/02/2012 Home    W *  30.60   6   4   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown           -1.52      3.52                      
 34 07/06/2012 Away    L *  24.79   7   8   4A  38 ( 7-30) Ames                   -7.33      6.33                      
 35 07/06/2012 Away    W *  26.79   4   3   4A  38 ( 7-30) Ames                   -5.33      6.33                      
 36 07/09/2012 Home    W *  29.45  11   0   4A  48 ( 2-34) Des Moines North       -2.66 *   13.66                      
 37 07/09/2012 Home    W *  32.45  14   0   4A  48 ( 2-34) Des Moines North        0.34 *   13.66                      
 38 07/10/2012 Away    W *  37.15   5   0   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston                5.04     -0.04                      
 39 07/10/2012 Away    L *  28.15   4   8   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston               -3.96     -0.04                      
 40 07/13/2012 Neutral W    26.89   6   0   4A  46 ( 4-30) Sioux City West        -5.23     11.23                      
 41 07/18/2012 Unknown W    35.47   7   2   4A  12 (34- 9) Sioux City East         3.35      1.65                      
 42 07/26/2012 Unknown W *  34.28   5   4   4A   2 (32-11) WDM Dowling             2.16     -1.16                      
 43 07/27/2012 Unknown W    35.02   4   2   4A   4 (33- 7) Cedar Rapids Kennedy    2.90     -0.90                      
 44 07/28/2012 Neutral L *  25.87   0  10   4A   1 (43- 2) Ankeny                 -6.25     -3.75  6 innings           
      Averages              32.12   6.7  3.2

Best game:   40.67 = 14 point win over Mason City
Worst game:  23.03 = 10 point loss to West Des Moines Valley
Team stdev:   4.33